pierinifitness
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Post by pierinifitness on Nov 1, 2020 19:15:55 GMT
Did it on Saturday, my fair share that hopefully will keep AZ red. Would have been pissing in the wind had I voted in CA.
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macky
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Post by macky on Nov 1, 2020 20:25:50 GMT
Good man Pierini, for voting.
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pierinifitness
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I do burpees, then I drink slurpees
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Post by pierinifitness on Nov 2, 2020 15:40:53 GMT
Posted in a CPA discussion forum where I participate. Couldn’t of said it better if I tried my best.
“The theory of polling and numbers has intrigued me, hence my wanting to be a CPA as well as look more into polling and why some get it very closely. In 2016 i was curious why most polls overstated the Democrats vote and who got it right as well as why.
The why seemed to be understood best by Trafalgar Group as he picked Michigan for Trump in 2016 as well as other close states. The factor was the shy Trump voter, shy because a conservative but more so shy due to criticism. There was a shyness on the left with some voters to but right was more shy by 6 points. This time, the right is more shy by 58 points. All of you CPAs now that when analytics are off a little results are only slightly off but when analytics are off a lot the results are way off.
Trafalgar Group polls show President Trump leading in almost all swing states and in MN a virtual tie. A key stat was a couple days ago where Trump polled 48, Biden 41 and fading. This state went for Trump in 2016 so results not surprising but it was a tie at one point.
Pollster from Susquehanna was interviewed and said that some pollsters results were so far off that it appeared that they were trying to influence the election outcome by causing right to not vote since not close. F & M was mentioned as an egregious one. One poll by CNN had Biden up 17 in state whereas Trump was up by 1 at other end of spectrum.
Anecdotally, there had been Trump Trains around the country including a 2000 car one thru 3 rust belt states and a 30 mile long one outside of Phoenix, also a swing state.
I predict another term for President Trump.
I worry about unrest due to those on the left feeling like they were lied to OR there was fraud since pollsters and media have been talking about a Biden win as inevitable. “
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Michael
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He cuts down trees. He wears high heels, suspendies, and a bra?!
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I voted
Nov 2, 2020 15:45:44 GMT
via mobile
Post by Michael on Nov 2, 2020 15:45:44 GMT
Never voted in my life and never will.
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Post by billfish on Nov 2, 2020 17:36:56 GMT
Never voted in my life and never will. Your vote is your VOICE Michael
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macky
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Post by macky on Nov 2, 2020 18:10:45 GMT
Posted in a CPA discussion forum where I participate. Couldn’t of said it better if I tried my best. “The theory of polling and numbers has intrigued me, hence my wanting to be a CPA as well as look more into polling and why some get it very closely. In 2016 i was curious why most polls overstated the Democrats vote and who got it right as well as why. The why seemed to be understood best by Trafalgar Group as he picked Michigan for Trump in 2016 as well as other close states. The factor was the shy Trump voter, shy because a conservative but more so shy due to criticism. There was a shyness on the left with some voters to but right was more shy by 6 points. This time, the right is more shy by 58 points. All of you CPAs now that when analytics are off a little results are only slightly off but when analytics are off a lot the results are way off. Trafalgar Group polls show President Trump leading in almost all swing states and in MN a virtual tie. A key stat was a couple days ago where Trump polled 48, Biden 41 and fading. This state went for Trump in 2016 so results not surprising but it was a tie at one point. Pollster from Susquehanna was interviewed and said that some pollsters results were so far off that it appeared that they were trying to influence the election outcome by causing right to not vote since not close. F & M was mentioned as an egregious one. One poll by CNN had Biden up 17 in state whereas Trump was up by 1 at other end of spectrum. Anecdotally, there had been Trump Trains around the country including a 2000 car one thru 3 rust belt states and a 30 mile long one outside of Phoenix, also a swing state. I predict another term for President Trump. I worry about unrest due to those on the left feeling like they were lied to OR there was fraud since pollsters and media have been talking about a Biden win as inevitable. “ Not all the media have been talking about a Biden win. There have been several articles in our news here that have cautioned against taking it for granted that Biden is in. And a few others that have said that things are swinging Trump's way, and given sensible reasons for why. You know, a balance here in our news. People got out and voted early here too. It was a landslide for the Labour party. The terrorist attack, the White Island eruption, and the virus response of a leader that took it all seriously and took decisive action I think was the main reason. It was really a leader election boosted by the above and the party vote went her way on the back of it all so she could continue to govern.
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macky
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Post by macky on Nov 2, 2020 18:18:03 GMT
Never voted in my life and never will. I know how you feel Michael. It's often been more of the same here, no matter which major party one voted for, the corporate influence, outsourcing of jobs, too many immigrants clogging up the health system etc. Wages being driven down. But then I thought that even two members of my family had died fighting against a vicious totalitarian system in WW2 so that at least a measure of freedom could be had by the citizens of the country, who were able to have their say on the day. And had a chance to lobby parliament and speak out in newspaper columns without having a knock on the door at 3am and being taken away.
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Michael
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He cuts down trees. He wears high heels, suspendies, and a bra?!
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Post by Michael on Nov 2, 2020 19:04:03 GMT
I don't watch news or read newspapers. All they do is spin the news to their agenda. I don't like or trust any politician, they all lie and have their own agendas. They actually remind me of JP and they make my skin crawl. When someone starts talking news or politics I walk away from them and don't respond to them. I'm always much happier this way. I see people stressing over that stuff. To me that's not life. , if Bruce or Billfish run for President then I'll vote.
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macky
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Post by macky on Nov 3, 2020 1:36:06 GMT
, if Bruce or Billfish run for President then I'll vote. Seconded
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Post by mrdave100 on Nov 3, 2020 1:59:23 GMT
....Would have been pissing in the wind had I voted in CA. Tell me about it, I live in Illinois
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Post by mrdave100 on Nov 3, 2020 2:06:22 GMT
I don't watch news or read newspapers. All they do is spin the news to their agenda. Big thumbs up!! I stopped consuming the news about 30 years ago, never been happier.
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Post by jrmeatplow on Nov 3, 2020 11:06:34 GMT
I'll be hitting the ol Trump button this evening after work!
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Michael
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He cuts down trees. He wears high heels, suspendies, and a bra?!
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Post by Michael on Nov 3, 2020 14:57:07 GMT
I don't watch news or read newspapers. All they do is spin the news to their agenda. Big thumbs up!! I stopped consuming the news about 30 years ago, never been happier. I was never drawn to news. Always thought it was so negative. Plus living where I lived, , You had more worries like getting robbed or getting into a fight. That was news enough for me.
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Post by zenqsavant on Nov 3, 2020 23:48:44 GMT
I agree..voting and politics is like pissing in the wind..piss goin every which kinda way with its own agenda..and sometimes it splashes back at you..idk
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MBS
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Post by MBS on Nov 4, 2020 2:35:12 GMT
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